Category: News
US Throttles Intelligence-Sharing With South Korea After Nuclear Disclosure Row
US Throttles Intelligence-Sharing With South Korea After Nuclear Disclosure Row
The United States has reduced intelligence sharing with South Korea pertaining to eavesdropping on North Korea following an alleged leak tied to sensitive information, according to local media reports.
But it is a major allegation that the government has dismissed as ‘absurd’. South Korean President Lee Jae Myung took to X at the start of this week to write, “Any claim or action based on the premise that Minister Chung ‘leaked classified information provided by the US’ is wrong.”
Bloomberg, citing Yonhap and others, wrote that “South Korean media reported that the US is limiting intelligence sharing on North Korea with Seoul after Unification Minister Chung Dong-young publicly identified North Korea’s uranium enrichment facility in Kusong last month.”
Washington reportedly began limiting access earlier this month to certain intelligence linked to North Korea’s technological capabilities, widely believed to involve aspects of its nuclear program, according to Yonhap News.
“It’s true that the US side has been restricting sharing parts of North Korean intelligence collected through satellites from early this month,” a senior military official said. “(The restricted sharing of intelligence) is related to information regarding parts of North Korea’s technology.”
Some 28,500 US troops are permanently stationed in South Korea, and the US is a longtime military partner going back to the Korean War of the mid-20th century. US intel-sharing has always heavily assisted Seoul with missile warning data and satellite surveillance.
The whole rare episode stems from remarks by South Korea’s Unification Minister Chung Dong-young during a March 6 parliamentary session, when he openly identified Kusong as a third North Korean uranium enrichment site alongside facilities at Yongbyon and Kangson.
The speech marked a first official acknowledgment by Seoul of the Kusong site, which then triggered backlash from Washington, featuring complaints from US officials through diplomatic and military channels who viewed it as a potential exposure of sensitive, possibly shared intelligence.
Chung in turn rejected the accusations, framing his remarks as all based in open source and public data which can be found through research reports.
Pyongyang is probably enjoying the spectacle, having long vehemently denounced the US presence on the Korean peninsula, also given the sporadic docking of a US nuclear submarine. This is a very rare moment of tensions among allies on the Korean peninsula.
Tyler Durden
Wed, 04/22/2026 – 04:15
Coinbase Now Lets UK Users Borrow Against Their Bitcoin And Ethereum
Coinbase Now Lets UK Users Borrow Against Their Bitcoin And Ethereum
Coinbase launched crypto-backed USDC lending for U.K. users on Monday.
Bitcoin holders can borrow up to $5 million in USDC, with Ethereum-backed loans capped at $1 million.
The service uses Morpho, an open-source lending protocol on Ethereum layer-2 network, Base.
Crypto exchange Coinbase has expanded its lending service, now allowing U.K. customers to borrow USDC stablecoins using their Bitcoin or Ethereum holdings as collateral.
The service operates through Morpho, an open-source lending protocol on Base—the Coinbase-backed Ethereum layer-2 network—that powers Coinbase’s crypto-backed loans.
U.K. users can pledge cryptocurrency as collateral to access USDC liquidity without liquidating their digital assets.
Borrowing limits vary by collateral type.
Bitcoin holders can access up to $5 million in USDC, while Ethereum-backed loans top out at $1 million, depending on the amount pledged.
Coinbase first launched the crypto-backed loan service in the United States in January 2025, and said it has facilitated $2.17 billion USDC in loan originations as of April 14.
The lending product adds to Coinbase’s growing U.K. service portfolio.
The exchange introduced decentralized exchange trading for U.K. users just last week, and previously launched savings accounts in November 2025.
These offerings followed Coinbase’s February 2025 FCA registration, which enabled the firm to expand regulated services in the market.
“Crypto-backed loans are part of Coinbase’s efforts to build the number one financial app in the U.K.,” said Coinbase U.K. CEO, in a statement.
“We want to be the best place for U.K. consumers to invest, manage and grow their money.”
Coinbase (COIN) shares on the Nasdaq are down about 1% on the day at a current price above $204, though they’re up nearly 17% over the last week amid broader crypto and stock market recoveries.
Tyler Durden
Wed, 04/22/2026 – 03:30
China Loads Up On US Chip Tools Via Southeast Asia Amid Supply Chain Shift
China Loads Up On US Chip Tools Via Southeast Asia Amid Supply Chain Shift
China’s imports of chipmaking equipment from Malaysia and Singapore rose sharply in 2025 to surpass those from the US, which sank to an eight-year low, an analysis by Nikkei Asia has found – even as American companies remain a vital source of advanced tools for the country.
While the Netherlands and Japan remain China’s primary foreign sources of critical semiconductor manufacturing machines by shipment origin, imports from the two Southeast Asian countries reached record levels: $5.7 billion for Singapore, up more than 17% year over year, and $3.4 billion for Malaysia, more than double the 2024 figure.
Direct imports from the US, meanwhile, declined more than 34% to about $2 billion, the lowest level since 2017, according to Chinese customs data. The decline was to be expected following President Trump’s return to the White House, as he sharply limited access of US semiconductors to China, although tensions began earlier. Since Trump’s first term and during the subsequent Biden administration, the US has raised tariffs and imposed fresh export controls aimed at slowing China’s advances in chipmaking technologies for defense, space and artificial intelligence applications.
Despite the decline, the Chinese market remained a critical revenue source for leading US chip equipment makers last year. Applied Materials, Lam Research and KLA all earned more than 30% of their total sales from China in fiscal 2025.
Charles Shi, a veteran semiconductor analyst with Needham & Co., told Nikkei Asia that the uptick in China’s imports from Southeast Asia is mainly due to the large number of U.S. chip equipment makers expanding manufacturing capacity in the region to better serve non-U.S. clients.
“Lam Research is building significant manufacturing capacity in Malaysia as they work to meet growing equipment demand beyond what their U.S. manufacturing capacity can serve,” Shi said. “Singapore has been a popular destination for [the] U.S. equipment industry to go overseas. For example, both Applied Materials and KLA have been manufacturing in Singapore.”
The three top U.S. chip tool makers generated nearly $19 billion in combined revenue from China in fiscal 2025, significantly exceeding figures implied by customs data based on where shipments originated from and underscoring the effectiveness of American vendors’ production diversification strategies. Nikkei Asia first reported their production shift toward Southeast Asia in early 2023.
For ASML of the Netherlands, China’s share of revenue came to 29.1% in 2025, while the figure for top Japanese chip tool maker Tokyo Electron was more than 40% for fiscal 2025.
Anticipating major chip wars, over the course of 2020 to 2025, China’s accumulated chip tool imports from Japan reached more than $42 billion, followed by the Netherlands’ $35 billion . Japan is home to many top chip equipment makers such as Tokyo Electron, Screen Semiconductor Solutions and Ebara, while the Netherlands has the world’s largest chip equipment maker, ASML, as well as key suppliers such as ASM, an atomic-level deposition tool specialist, and Besi, a maker of advanced chip packaging tools.
Meanwhile, China’s domestic chipmaking equipment makers are experiencing a once-in-a-generation surge in growth, driven by Beijing’s push to foster homegrown tools and reduce reliance on foreign technologies. Top suppliers all reported record revenue and profits for 2025, led by Naura, Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc. China (AMEC), ACM Research and Piotech.
Naura, China’s answer to Applied Materials, has seen its revenue balloon from 6.05 billion yuan ($887 million) in 2020 to 27.14 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025. Revenue for AMEC skyrocketed more than 400% from 2020 to 2025. Piotech, a thin-film deposition chip tool specialist, has seen its revenue grow 13 times between 2020 and 2025.
Shi of Needham said China has made good progress in fostering local chip tool makers, but internal competition is intensifying. “While leading domestic equipment companies are still posting strong revenue growth, there are indications that their margin performance is deteriorating,” Shi said of Chinese chipmaking companies. “We believe intensifying domestic competition might have forced domestic equipment companies to ‘race to the bottom’ by undercutting each other’s prices.”
With China’s equipment suppliers becoming more competitive in recent years, US policymakers are seeking to further close loopholes in export rules. In April, bipartisan lawmakers introduced the MATCH Act, which calls on “multilateral allies” to coordinate more closely in aligning and tightening export restrictions across key segments of the chipmaking equipment industry. These measures would further target critical “chokepoint” components and machinery, as well as shipments to leading Chinese memory and logic chipmakers, including CXMT, YMTC, SMIC and Hua Hong.
“Chinese tool companies on the Entity List are unable to get access to U.S. parts, but there are many parts that Europe and Japan can backfill, and that’s the conundrum that we find ourselves in today,” Kevin Kurland, a former official at the U.S. Department of Commerce and current senior advisor at Beacon Global Strategies, told Nikkei Asia. “If controls don’t get aligned multilaterally with allies, U.S. controls can undercut American companies’ competitiveness while allowing Chinese companies to continue to function and operate – a lose-lose outcome.
Alex Rubin, a former CIA China analyst and visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution, told Nikkei Asia that “component export controls definitely make sense.”
“It’s very similar to what we are seeing in commercial aviation: China is assembling the finished C919 aircraft, but is sourcing parts from U.S. and European suppliers. Chinese companies are trying to compete with Boeing and Airbus, while sourcing from a similar supply chain,” Rubin said.
While China is still massively sourcing foreign chip tools, its ultimate goal is self sufficiency, industry sources say.
While durability, reliability and performance may not be at the same level, “for every foreign chipmaking tool, material and component you can think of, you could find Chinese versions,” said an executive with a Taiwanese chipmaking tool who participated in the Semicon China industry event in late March. “Chinese chipmakers will continue to buy foreign solutions while they can, but there’s no doubt about the country’s will to increase the use of homegrown suppliers.”
“China is adopting a two-way approach: developing homegrown tools while continuing to purchase foreign equipment whenever possible. Since imported tools often offer better performance, they are still buying aggressively — and even repurposing consumable parts from one piece of equipment to repair other chipmaking machines,” another chip industry executive with knowledge of the matter told Nikkei Asia.
A third executive with a Chinese chipmaking tool supplier told Nikkei Asia that the aggressive expansion plans by Chinese logic and memory chipmakers have given local vendors more opportunities to break into and secure a position in the domestic supply chain.
Nikkei Asia was the first to report that Chinese top chipmakers led by SMIC, Hua Hong and Huawei-linked chipmakers are aiming to aggressively expand advanced chip production capacity, including on the performance level of 7-nanometer or even 5-nm technologies, to support the rise of domestic AI chip developers. Meanwhile, top Chinese memory chip producers CXMT and YMTC are launching their largest expansions in response to the unprecedented global memory crunch amid the AI boom, Nikkei revealed in early February.
American allies such as the Netherlands and Japan have already introduced rules to align with U.S. export controls, but policymakers in Washington feel those restrictions are still much too loose. The U.S. has imposed multiple rounds of regulation on exports to China and has added many leading Chinese chip equipment suppliers and chipmakers to its Entity List.
The MATCH Act, if passed, could further limit global vendors’ ability to supply critical tech to China. The bill targets some older – though still critical – generations of chipmaking machines as well as components, both of which can be chokepoints for China’s efforts to build up its domestic chip industry. Introduced in early April, the bill still needs to go through the legislative process, and it remains unclear how the Netherlands, Japan and other countries would respond to any diplomatic pressure to comply. For example, only ASML in the Netherlands and Canon and Nikon in Japan can produce commercially viable lithography machines — an area where China continues to face significant challenges.
Tyler Durden
Wed, 04/22/2026 – 02:45
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/china-loads-us-chip-tools-southeast-asia-amid-supply-chain-shift
Spain’s Services Crumble; Military-Aged Male Migrants Overwhelm Registry Offices
Spain’s Services Crumble; Military-Aged Male Migrants Overwhelm Registry Offices
Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity.news,
Huge queues of migrants continue to snake through Spanish cities this week as Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s socialist government opened the floodgates on its controversial mass regularization program. Applications for legal status and work permits kicked off last Thursday following cabinet approval, and the scenes unfolding in Barcelona, Zaragoza, Sevilla and beyond confirm the worst fears of those who warned this amnesty would break the system.
It is the direct result of the chaos already documented after Sánchez rammed through his plan to legalize half a million undocumented migrants already inside the country. As thousands swarmed consulates and offices demanding paperwork, the very public services Spaniards rely on are now buckling under the pressure.
In Barcelona, Pakistani migrants rushed the consulate for criminal record certificates required under the scheme.
SPAIN: Pakistani migrants are rushing to the consulate in Barcelona for their paperwork, as the government plans to regularize 500,000 illegals.
Notice they are all military-aged men, no women or children. They will soon be able to move freely across Europe. This won’t end well. pic.twitter.com/tSepsIqY55
— Dr. Maalouf (@realMaalouf) April 19, 2026
Miles de pakistaníes después de ser regularizados por Pedro Sánchez se van a la oficina de servicios sociales del Ayuntamiento de Barcelona?? para coger el certificado de vulnerabilidad y tener derecho a casa gratis y el IMV
Todo esto pagado por ti por supuesto. pic.twitter.com/EWtILqPBcE
— Anonymous Tabarnia ? (@Anonymous_TA) April 18, 2026
Footage from Zaragoza showed similar crowds overwhelming local offices:
???Footage from Spain’s Zaragoza as thousands of migrants rush to be legalized.
The VOX party: “Total collapse of the City Council in the face of the avalanche of illegal immigrants who want to take advantage of Sánchez’s regularization.”pic.twitter.com/OISJ1gsyXs
— Remix News & Views (@RMXnews) April 20, 2026
In Valencia the lines were massive:
?? Así son las kilométricas que colapsan el centro de Valencia por la regularización masiva de Sánchez. pic.twitter.com/SjyUctmL0I
— okdiario.com (@okdiario) April 20, 2026
In Sevilla, VOX candidate Manuel Gavira posted video of long lines outside city hall and delivered a stark warning: “These are the lines in Seville to manage mass regularization. What you see here today… tomorrow you’ll see it in the clinics, in social assistance, in housing, and in all public services. It’s called collapse. And it has already begun.”
Estas son las colas en Sevilla para gestionar la regularización masiva.
Lo que hoy ves aquí… mañana lo verás en los ambulatorios, en las ayudas sociales, en la vivienda y en todos los servicios públicos.
Se llama colapso. Y ya ha empezado. pic.twitter.com/4rrHZUVDGs
— Manuel Gavira ?? (@GaviraVox) April 20, 2026
The Daily Mail reports that migrants are camping overnight outside registry offices and shopping-mall centers in Catalunya, Andalucia and Asturias. One Colombian in Barcelona told reporters he arrived at 10 or 11pm and waited 15 hours. A Honduran migrant who slept on the floor said, “A very large group of people almost trampled me… We risked our lives, but it will be worth it.”
Spain throws open its doors to undocumented migrants: Huge queues continue to form after socialist government granted citizenship to 500,000 people https://t.co/2kaUvoPqlr
— Daily Mail (@DailyMail) April 20, 2026
Sánchez himself defended the move in a public letter, claiming it was both moral and economic: “Spain is ageing… Without more people working and contributing to the economy, our prosperity slows, and our public services suffer.”
In every city in Spain there are lines of invaders to whom Pedro Sanchez has promised identity documents to regulate them. Pedro Sanchez, public enemy number one of Europeans. pic.twitter.com/k1Mo3Kpa2u
— RadioGenoa (@RadioGenoa) April 17, 2026
Yet critics point out the obvious: Spain already has roughly 840,000 undocumented migrants and a foreign-born population nearing 10 million out of 50 million total. Ninety percent of new jobs have gone to immigrants while native Spaniards face housing shortages and strained services. Legalizing another half-million without fixing those problems only accelerates the breakdown.
The nationalist VOX Party has labeled the policy an “invasion” that “attacks our identity” and has vowed to challenge it in the Supreme Court. Meanwhile, immigration officers are threatening to strike over lack of resources. Local councils are already talking about early closures because the system cannot cope.
Just days before the avalanche of applications began, legal challengers warned that Sánchez’s mass amnesty could still be stopped. A conservative group, Hazte Oír, successfully petitioned the Spanish Supreme Court to review the controversial Royal Decree used to bypass parliament. The court has given the government a non-extendable 20-day deadline to hand over all files, raising the real possibility of a precautionary suspension that would freeze the entire legalization process.
Hazte Oír argued the decree creates “irreparable damage” by granting residence, work permits, Social Security registration, access to benefits and the suspension of expulsion orders to hundreds of thousands of people — changes that would be almost impossible to reverse even if the court later rules the shortcut illegal.
The group stressed that the measure “structurally alters the State’s immigration policy, with direct and lasting effects” on the labour market, public benefits system, municipal registry, “and, in the medium term, the electoral roll.”
Lawyer Javier María Pérez-Roldán warned: “Massive regularization without planning directly impacts the saturation of essential public services (educational and social), affecting the collective interests that this association defends.”
VOX leader Santiago Abascal had already sounded the alarm as the first queues formed: “These are the lines to manage mass regularization in each municipality of Spain. Tomorrow this chaos will move to the centres of health, to the social services, to the real estate agencies… It’s called thirdworldization. It’s already happening. Our priority is to reverse it, radically.”
The scenes unfolding this week prove Abascal correct: the chaos has already begun. If the Supreme Court does not intervene quickly, Spain will have crossed a point of no return — handing EU-wide freedom of movement to half a million undocumented migrants while its own public services buckle.
The pattern is unmistakable. Sánchez’s progressive coalition ignores the strain on housing, healthcare, schools and welfare while fast-tracking residency permits that will let recipients work legally and eventually travel freely throughout Europe in Schengen. Once again, Spanish citizens are told to accept lower wages, longer waits and cultural transformation in the name of “diversity” and GDP growth that never seems to reach the native population.
Spain is not alone in Europe, but it stands out for doubling down while neighbors tighten borders. The queues in Barcelona, Zaragoza and Sevilla are not a one-off photo opportunity. They are the visible symptom of a policy that prioritizes outsiders over citizens and votes over sovereignty. As VOX has warned, the collapse has already begun. Spaniards who value their country, their culture and their children’s future have been put on notice.
The rest of the West should watch closely. When governments treat borders as suggestions and citizens as afterthoughts, the consequences arrive faster than any press release can spin them.
Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating via Locals or check out our unique merch. Follow us on X @ModernityNews.
Tyler Durden
Wed, 04/22/2026 – 02:00
Ukraine Billionaire Spends $554 Million For World’s Most Expensive Apartment In Monte Carlo
Ukraine Billionaire Spends $554 Million For World’s Most Expensive Apartment In Monte Carlo
It makes sense that a nation which has consistently ranked at the top in all global corruption rankings, produces some of the most extravagant demonstrations of stolen wealth.
Take billionaire Rinat Akhmetov, among many other assets owner of the Azovstal steel complex in Mariupol which became one of the defining clashes in the Ukraine war, and Ukraine’s richest man, who bought a vast, five-floor luxury apartment in Monaco’s most prestigious new development for an eye-popping €471 million ($554 million), making it the biggest single home transactions in history according to Bloomberg.
The 21-room waterfront property, acquired by the businessman’s holding company, is located in the principality’s Mareterra district. The new area, built on reclaimed land, was inaugurated by Prince Albert II in 2024 and has drawn ultra-rich investors from around the world.
Le Renzo in Mareterra, Monte Carlo
Situated in the flagship “Le Renzo” building, the apartment stretches over about 2,500 square meters (27,000 square feet), not counting balconies and terraces looking out over the Mediterranean Sea. It also has a private swimming pool, jacuzzi and comes with at least eight parking spots.
Details of the sale, which was finalized in 2024, or about two years after Akhmetov’s country was deep in a brutal war with thousands of his countrymen dying on the front every day, come from the principality’s property records, as well as a stash of emails and preliminary deeds reviewed by Bloomberg Businessweek from Distributed Denial of Secrets, a nonprofit that preserves hacked and leaked materials believed to be in the public interest.
Akhmetov’s holding company, System Capital Management, or SCM, confirmed it it had made an acquisition in the development, though declined to provide details about the property or price.
“SCM’s international investment portfolio has included a standalone premium real estate portfolio for over ten years, as has been publicly stated on multiple occasions,” it said in a statement. “Among its assets is the ‘Le Renzo’ project, in which we made an investment on the primary market in 2021.”
Premium real estate; half a billion dollars for an apartment is a different galaxy, especially sine most of the money was likely sourced from US taxpayers. The reported price would make it the biggest known home sale in history, outstripping the recent sale of developer Nick Candy’s Chelsea mansion for more than $350 million or the sale of a New York penthouse apartment to hedge fund manager Ken Griffin for about $240 million.
Perched on a rocky outcrop between France and Italy, Monaco has long been the priciest real-estate market in the world because of its small size and tax haven status. The Mareterra development was built up over a decade on land reclaimed from the sea and includes 114 luxury villas, townhouses and apartments set around gardens, a harbor and public promenade.
Akhmetov’s purchase agreement in the principality came just before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The war subsequently created upheaval within his business empire including attacks on energy assets in his home country.
Akhmetov was pivotal in arranging a lasting relationship between his employee and close friend Paul Manafort and former Ukraine president Viktor Yanukovich, whose US-mediated ouster was the trigger for the eventual war between Ukraine and Russia.
The tycoon has a net worth of more than $7 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. His fortune is rooted in SCM, Ukraine’s largest industrial conglomerate with investments in metallurgy, mining and energy, in addition to property.
Akhmetov has also been associated with a string of other ultra high-end property acquisitions in the past, including the 2019 purchase for €200 million of the historic Villa Les Cèdres on the French Riviera. The sprawling estate in the exclusive Saint-Jean-Cap-Ferrat was once owned by King Leopold II of Belgium. In 2011, Akhmetov also reportedly bought a penthouse in London’s prestigious One Hyde Park development opposite the Harrods department store in Knightsbridge.
Mareterra properties have sold for prices surpassing the symbolic €100,000 a square meter, according to local property agents, who asked not to be named because the details aren’t public. One three-bedroom property is currently on the market for about €76 million. There are also rental listings for four and five-room apartments for €150,000 a month.
Official statistics show that the Larvotto district where Mareterra is located has become the principality’s most expensive in terms of estimated selling prices per square meter. The data doesn’t break out prices for properties in the development and these aren’t generally listed on broker websites.
“Monaco remains one of the world’s most exclusive and resilient residential markets,” Savills said in a report published in March, noting that it’s “shaped by structural scarcity and sustained high international demand.”
Tyler Durden
Wed, 04/22/2026 – 00:05
Nobel Physicist Predicts ‘End-Date’ For Modern Civilization
Nobel Physicist Predicts ‘End-Date’ For Modern Civilization
Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity.news,
Nobel Prize-winning physicist David Gross has provided a sobering timeline for the potential end of modern civilisation, citing the escalating risks of nuclear war.
The 2004 Nobel laureate estimates that humanity may have roughly 35 years remaining before facing existential catastrophe from nuclear conflict.
In an interview, Gross detailed his assessment based on probability calculations similar to radioactive half-life models. He noted that after the Cold War, estimates put the annual chance of nuclear war at one percent. However, he believes the figure is now closer to two percent.
Chilling warning from Nobel physicist as date is set for humanity’s final destruction https://t.co/WKhFHWcIs3
— Daily Mail US (@Daily_MailUS) April 20, 2026
“Even after the Cold War ended, when we had strategic arms control treaties, all of which have disappeared, there were estimates that there was a one percent chance of nuclear war every year,” Gross said.
He continued, “I feel it’s not a rigorous estimate that the chances are more likely two percent. So that’s a one-in-50 chance every year. The expected lifetime, in the case of two percent per year, is about 35 years.”
Gross pointed to deteriorating global conditions as justification for his higher estimate. “Things have gotten so much worse in the last 30 years, as you can see every time you read the newspaper,” he stated.
He highlighted ongoing conflicts and nuclear proliferation. There are now nine nuclear powers, complicating arms control significantly. “Even three is infinitely more complicated than two,” Gross observed.
Recent developments include the expiration of the New START treaty on February 5, 2026, with no major nuclear arms-control agreements signed in the past decade.
Gross also raised concerns about advancing technology, particularly automation and artificial intelligence in weapons systems.
“The agreements, the norms between countries, are all falling apart,” he said. “Weapons are getting crazier. Automation, and perhaps even AI, will be in control of those instruments pretty soon.”
“It’s going to be very hard to resist making AI make decisions because it acts so fast,” Gross warned, noting that AI can sometimes “hallucinate” or produce inaccurate outputs.
He expressed deep concern for humanity’s future beyond scientific progress: “You asked me to think about the future, and I am obsessed the last few years, thinking about that, not the future of ideas and understanding nature, but of the survival of humanity.”
Despite the grim outlook, Gross expressed some optimism, stating of nuclear weapons: “We made them; we can stop them.”
The post quickly drew responses on X reflecting a range of views.
One took a philosophical stance: “There no end date.. people have been guessing.. for a long time.. when it our time it’s our time… an Asteroid can hit Tomorrow and wipe out the planet and we probably wouldn’t be able to process it… a renegade Volcano can explode setting off the next extinction event and we wouldn’t know what to do.. live your life.. it’s all you can do..”
Several users ironcially turned to AI for answers, with one writing: “Tell us the date and time @grok.” and another echoing: “@grok what’s the date and time?”
A different commenter expressed skepticism about the role of global elites: “If his thinks rich billionaires are going to allow nuclear war.. then take away his Nobel prize cause that not happening any time soon.”
Gross, who won the Nobel Prize for his work on asymptotic freedom in quantum chromodynamics, has shifted much of his recent focus to humanity’s long-term survival. His remarks connect the probability model directly to current events, including tensions in Europe, the Middle East, and South Asia.
By framing the risk in concrete yearly percentages and an expected timeframe, the physicist aims to translate abstract geopolitical dangers into something more immediate and calculable. Whether the two-percent annual figure holds or shifts with future developments remains to be seen, but the underlying message is clear: the window for preventive action is narrowing.
Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating via Locals or check out our unique merch. Follow us on X @ModernityNews.
Tyler Durden
Tue, 04/21/2026 – 23:25
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/nobel-physicist-predicts-end-date-modern-civilization
South Korea Curbs Syringe Hoarding As Iran War Cripples Supply
South Korea Curbs Syringe Hoarding As Iran War Cripples Supply
The downstream consequences from the Hormuz closure are popping up in the most unexpected places.
According to Bloomberg, South Korea’s health regulators are stepping in to curb syringe hoarding as supply chain disruptions tied to the Middle East conflict threaten the availability of essential medical supplies.
While overall syringe production remains steady at about 4.5 million units a day – slightly above 2025 averages – hospitals report dwindling inventories, and online platforms show rising prices and empty virtual shelves, according to the Ministry of Food and Drug Safety.
Starting Monday the ministry will deploy 35 inspection teams, made up of police and medical device officials, to carry out a nationwide probe into intermediaries and other firms suspected of creating artificial shortages to drive up profits.
Syringes are the latest everyday item in South Korea to be hit by spillover from the Iran war, which has disrupted supplies of naphtha, a petroleum derivative used in plastics manufacturing. Products such as syringes and intravenous fluid bags rely on polypropylene and polyethylene, both derived from naphtha.
Earlier, we discussed how US exports of ethane – which is also a key building block in plastics production – to China have soared, as naphtha supply remains indefinitely blocked as a result of the Hormuz closure.
“We’ve seen a surge in speculative demand as hospitals and clinics are preemptively ordering extra stock in anticipation of price hikes, which is creating artificial bottlenecks,” said spokesperson Jung Chul-woo of the Korea Medical Devices Association, which represents more than 700 suppliers.
Shortages of Middle Eastern crude have already stoked supply concerns in Asia’s fourth-largest economy, threatening everything from garbage bags to popular instant noodle brands, while also contributing to a broader jet fuel crunch across the region.
After manufacturers raised concerns about potential naphtha shortages, the government called on domestic refiners to prioritize supply allocations for local companies for the next three months, an official at the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy said. The ministry’s crackdown comes after a government mandate took effect April 14 banning the hoarding of syringes and needles. Withholding inventory or inflating prices is now punishable by up to three years in prison, or 100 million won ($68,000) in fines.
“Acts of hoarding medical devices essential to public health while exploiting a crisis are unacceptable,” Food and Drug Safety Minister Oh Yu-Kyoung said in a statement.
Tyler Durden
Tue, 04/21/2026 – 23:00
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/south-korea-curbs-syringe-hoarding-iran-war-cripples-supply
From Tank Rides To Overseeing Missile Tests: Kim Jong Un’s Teenage Daughter Prepped As Likely Successor
From Tank Rides To Overseeing Missile Tests: Kim Jong Un’s Teenage Daughter Prepped As Likely Successor
Longtime North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un oversaw a test launch of missiles equipped with multiple reentry vehicles, a move that drew limited international attention despite its escalation risk.
“The purpose of the test-fire is to verify the characteristics and power of cluster bomb warhead and fragmentation mine warhead applied to the tactical ballistic missile,” North Korean state media reported Sunday. “Five tactical ballistic missiles, launched towards the target area around an island about 136 km away, struck the area of 12.5~13 hectares with the very high density, fully displaying their combat might.”
Kim’s daughter, Kim Ju Ae, attended the launch – the latest in a series of recent public appearances alongside her father – a trend which has only intensified speculation about his succession planning.
Just several weeks ago, his daughter was filmed and photographed enjoying a battle tank ride alongside her father. Per prior reporting in the NY Times:
It seems like a familiar rite of passage: a dad teaching his daughter to drive. Except in this case, the girl is at the helm of a hulking battle tank, her head sticking out from the driver’s hatch, while the father — the North Korean leader, Kim Jong-un — reclines on the hull behind her.
The video and photographs of the girl, Kim Ju-ae, who is believed to be around 13, apparently driving the heavily armed vehicle during a military exercise, were published last month by North Korean state media. It was the latest in a series of public appearances that have fueled speculation that she is being groomed to succeed her father.
That theory has gained added credence from South Korea’s spy agency, which now believes Ju-ae has officially been chosen to succeed her father, South Korean lawmakers briefed on the matter said on Monday. They added that the agency’s analysis was based on “credible intelligence” rather than circumstantial context.
In the tank video, Mr. Kim is shown riding on the hull, smiling and occasionally leaning down to speak to his daughter, who is looking straight ahead.
A South Korean lawmaker subsequently saw in the whole scene “an intent to highlight Ju-ae’s military exceptionality” and “dilute skepticism of a female heir.”
Trump and Kim met three times between 2018 and 2020, but talks collapsed without an agreement – and this was followed by a period marked by rising tensions under Biden.
WATCH: North Korea’s Kim Jong Un rides in new tank with daughter pic.twitter.com/Pq78MSNjKt
— Rapid Report (@RapidReport2025) March 20, 2026
North Korea’s freshly conducted the test reportedly utilized fragmentation-style munitions after Iran deployed similar systems against Israel. Missiles carrying cluster or fragmenting warheads can overwhelm and evade advanced air defense systems.
Tyler Durden
Tue, 04/21/2026 – 22:10
US, Philippines Launch Their ‘Biggest Ever’ Balikatan Drills With Large Japanese Contingent
US, Philippines Launch Their ‘Biggest Ever’ Balikatan Drills With Large Japanese Contingent
Authored by Dave DeCamp via AntiWar.com,
The US and the Philippines on Monday launched what’s being billed as the “biggest ever” Balikatan Exercise, an annual military drill that, for the first time, includes a significant contingent of Japanese troops as Tokyo increases its military activity in the region, ramping up tensions with China.
The drills are scheduled to take place from April 20 to May 8 and will involve more than 17,000 troops, including about 1,400 Japanese military personnel.
Importantly, exercises will include live-fire drills in the northern Philippines, facing Taiwan, and in Palawan, an island province facing the disputed South China Sea.
The start of the drills comes amid a very fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran, which is due to expire on Wednesday if it’s not extended.
While the US has committed more than 60,000 troops to the Middle East, the Trump administration continues to focus on building alliances in the Asia-Pacific as part of its strategy against China, including a new security deal with Indonesia.
In response to the start of the Balikitan drills, the Chinese Foreign Ministry strongly condemned the US activity in the region.
“The world has seen enough damage done by unilateralism and abuse of military might. What the Asia-Pacific needs most is peace and tranquility, and the last thing the region needs is division and confrontation as a result of the introduction of external forces,” said spokesman Guo Jiakun.
The location of the same drills last year, via AEI’s Critical Threats Project
“No military and security cooperation should be conducted at the expense of mutual understanding and trust as well as peace and stability in the region. Such cooperation should not target any third party or harm the interests of any third party. For countries that tie their own security to others, it is important to bear in mind that this may very well backfire,” Guo added.
Tyler Durden
Tue, 04/21/2026 – 21:45
Halliburton Sees First Signs Of Life In America’s Oil Patch: “We Are In Early Innings”
Halliburton Sees First Signs Of Life In America’s Oil Patch: “We Are In Early Innings”
An emerging theme we are focusing on is the early stage of a major capex upcycle in America’s oil patch, with even Goldman now moving in that direction and forecasting a boom that could echo the industry’s expansion cycle of the early 2000s.
Continental Resources CEO Doug Lawler was the first of the major oil patch players to mention in early April that “Continental is increasing our capital budget, which will increase production.”
Now, another giant of the oil patch, Halliburton, a major supplier of the gear, crews, and services that keep drilling and fracking going, reports new signs of life in oilfield activity across North America.
“While these calls are not for committed crews, they do suggest incremental demand is building in spot markets with smaller operators. This is the leading edge of capacity tightening. While we are in the early innings, in my view the setup for North America is constructive. Premium equipment is already tightening,” Halliburton CEO Jeff Miller told investors in the company’s first-quarter earnings statement earlier today.
Halliburton reported strong international performance, especially in Latin America, where revenue jumped 22% year over year, helping to offset disruptions in the Gulf area. The company still beat Bloomberg Consensus expectations on adjusted earnings, though the conflict in the Middle East reduced profit in its drilling and evaluation units by about 2 to 3 cents per share.
Melius Research analyst James West noted that Halliburton “posted a solid beat across the board” that was “driven by international strength that more than offset continued North America softness.”
Miller’s comments about signs of life returning to the oil patch add to remarks made by Continental Resources CEO Doug Lawler earlier this month.
This leaves us asking whether a broader shale response is still to come…
Answering that question is a team of Goldman analysts led by Michele Della Vigna, who now expects “the sector is poised for a major oil capex upcycle, similar to that of the early 2000s.”
We must point out that the oil patch has yet to respond to WTI futures topping $110 a barrel, before sliding to $83 a barrel. WTI tradnig around $89 on Tuesday morning.
Della Vigna outlined, “The escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East since February 28 may have accelerated the timing of a structural capex upcycle, which we now expect to start in 2027.“
She also laid out a list of companies that clients should be long as this emerging theme begins to revive life in the oil patch. Read the report here.
In short, Halliburton has been a leading oilfield services player in North America for decades, and its commentary may be one of the first real signals that the investment cycle is turning up. After a long stretch of under investment, the trend now appears to be shifting back toward renewed capital spending and reserve expansion.
Tyler Durden
Tue, 04/21/2026 – 21:20













