Posted in News

Trump Says Admin Investigating Deaths, Disappearances Of US Scientists

Trump Says Admin Investigating Deaths, Disappearances Of US Scientists

Authored by Jack Phillips via The Epoch Times,

President Donald Trump on Thursday vowed to look into reports of multiple U.S. scientists who have either died or gone missing in recent months.

“I hope it’s random, but we’re going to know in the next week and a half,” he told reporters, adding that “I just left a meeting on that subject.”

The reports, he added, are serious, because “some of them were very important people, and we’re going to look at it over the next short period.”

The president provided an update a day after White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters that the Trump administration is investigating.

A reporter asked Leavitt about 10 scientists who died or disappeared over the past several years, with some of them having access to nuclear or aerospace material.

“I haven’t spoken to our relevant agencies about it. I will certainly do that, and we’ll get you an answer. If true, of course, that’s definitely something I think this government and administration would deem worth looking into,” she said in response.

At least one House lawmaker, Rep. Eric Burlison (R-Mo.), asked the FBI to investigate the reports.

“The disappearance of multiple scientists and military personnel with ties to advanced research is deeply concerning. I’ve already requested FBI involvement, and we will keep pressing for answers,” Burlison wrote in a post on X in late March.

Another, Rep. Tim Burchett (R-Tenn.), also called for an investigation into the disappearances.

“The numbers seem very high in these certain areas of research. I think we’d better be paying attention, and I don’t think we should trust our government,” he told the Daily Mail in March.

Burchett also made reference to the disappearance of a former Air Force general, William McCasland, who vanished from his New Mexico home without his phone or glasses in February. Media reports said that a colleague of his, Monica Reza, a rocket scientist, went missing in June 2025 after she did not return home from hiking in the Angeles National Forest in Southern California.

The lawmaker appeared to suggest that McCasland’s disappearance was linked to his aerospace or UFO research, saying that “those folks are very secretive about what they know” and he believes that McCasland “was involved in some of that.”

A former Department of State analyst, Marik von Rennenkampff, told NewsNation on Wednesday that the disappearances are unusual and could be connected.

“It’s bizarre,” he said. “I go through various potential scenarios. These are large organizations. Could these be coincidences? I think we might have passed that threshold.”

The Epoch Times contacted the FBI for comment Thursday.

* * * These mangoes are pretty damn good

Tyler Durden
Fri, 04/17/2026 – 09:45

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trump-says-admin-investigating-deaths-disappearances-us-scientists 

Posted in News

U.S. Navy Spy Drone Circles Cuba As Report Says Pentagon Weighing Possible Military Ops

U.S. Navy Spy Drone Circles Cuba As Report Says Pentagon Weighing Possible Military Ops

With President Trump signaling on Thursday that a deal with Tehran could be close, and indicating that another round of talks may take place this weekend, the focus is already beginning to shift beyond the Gulf region and back toward the Gulf of America, where reports earlier this week suggested the U.S. military was preparing for some form of intervention against the communist regime in Cuba.

USA Today reported on Wednesday that the Department of War is preparing for a possible operation in Cuba. The report was based on two sources.

The DoW responded to the outlet, saying it plans for a range of contingencies and remains prepared to execute the president’s orders as directed.

By early Friday, X user OSINTdefender reported that a U.S. Navy high-altitude, long-endurance maritime surveillance drone “flew an over-12-hour mission off the coast of Cuba.”

BLKCAT6, a U.S. Navy MQ-4C “Triton” High-Altitude Surveillance Drone flew an over 12-hour mission yesterday off the coast of Cuba, flying rounds over the Gulf of America and Northern Caribbean, taking a particularly close look at both Havana and the area near Guantanamo Bay,… pic.twitter.com/X8UahG4Z0Y

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) April 17, 2026

The drone in question was a U.S. Navy MQ-4C Triton, used primarily for maritime intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance. It is also used for target detection and tracking.

Importantly, the maritime surveillance drone provided the Navy with a wide-area view of what was happening along the Cuban coast. It is often paired with a P-8 Poseidon reconnaissance aircraft.

Also on Thursday, Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel addressed a crowd of communist supporters, saying he does not want conflict with the U.S. He also boasted that Cuban forces would defeat the U.S. military.

Díaz-Canel told the crowd: “We have to be ready to resist serious threats, including military aggression. We do not seek it, but it is our duty to prepare to avert it, and, should it prove inevitable, to win it.”

The Trump administration has been calling on the communist regime in Havana to open the island economically so it can thrive, rather than remain trapped in its current state of economic collapse – a byproduct of failed communism. Oddly enough, some Democrats and left-wing NGOs continue to praise communism in Cuba and claim that it works well.

President Trump’s march across the Western Hemisphere and into the Gulf region appears to be ushering in a new order, one in which the U.S. maintains its dominance for another generation by controlling energy flows. China is certainly angered.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 04/17/2026 – 09:30

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-navy-spy-drone-circles-cuba-report-says-pentagon-weighing-possible-military-ops 

Posted in News

There Is No “Fair Share”… There Is Only “More”

There Is No “Fair Share”… There Is Only “More”

Authored by James Hickman via SchiffSovereign.com,

In April 1971, Keith Richards loaded his family and his Bentley onto a cross-Channel ferry and drove south until he hit the Mediterranean. He rented a 19th-century villa called Nellcôte on a hillside above Villefranche-sur-Mer, and converted the basement into a recording studio.

Over the following year the rest of the Rolling Stones rotated through the house and nearby properties to record the double album that became Exile on Main St., while staying deliberately out of reach of the British tax authorities.

The top marginal income tax rate in Britain at the time was 75%, and a surcharge on the highest earners pushed the effective rate on the wealthiest past 90%.

Three years later, under Denis Healey’s 1974 budget, the top rate on earned income would climb to 83% and the rate on investment income would reach 98%.

Britain would spend the rest of the decade watching capital flee and begging the IMF for emergency loans.

David Bowie, Rod Stewart, Michael Caine, Sean Connery, and a long line of less famous wealthy Britons eventually ran the same arithmetic as the Stones and reached a similar conclusion. Capital left the country in every form it could fit into, including bonds, businesses, luxury cars, and rock stars.

But politicians never learn.

Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey has backed legislation that would push the top federal income-tax rate to 43%.

Senator Chris Van Hollen of Maryland is pushing a version that lands at 49%.

Both men describe it, as they always do, as wealthy Americans finally paying their “fair share.”

What exact percent is their fair share? Are we to believe they will be satisfied at 43% or 49%?

As always, that phrase is deliberately left undefined.

Never-mind that the top 1% of filers already paid 40.4% of all federal income taxes in 2022 while the bottom 50% paid roughly 3%.

They are also conveniently ignorant of the fact that raising the top marginal rate doesn’t actually raise revenue at all.

Since the end of the Second World War, U.S. federal tax revenue has averaged around 17% to 18% of GDP, dipping toward 15% in deep recessions and climbing near 20% in booms. The swings track the business cycle, not tax policy.

The top marginal rate, over that same stretch, has been all over the map: 91% under Eisenhower, 28% under Reagan by 1988, 39.6% under Clinton, 37% today. Yet regardless of whether tax rates were 91% or 37%, the IRS always collects around 17% of GDP.

The conclusion is obvious: if the government wants to collect more tax revenue, they should focus on setting the right conditions for an economic boom.

In short, make the pie bigger for EVERYONE, and hence the government’s slice will grow as well.

Making the pie bigger isn’t that hard, either. America’s private economy is legendary.

All Congress has to do is get out of the way. Attempt to run a balanced budget. Restore credibility. Make it easier for businesses and individuals to be productive. REMOVE idiotic laws instead of creating new ones.

But they’re not interested in any of those things.

Congress has documented evidence of hundreds of billions of dollars in fraud. Yet they  do nothing. They have also pledged to do nothing about Social Security— which is set to run out of money in six years.

The regulatory code in the Land of the Free already runs over 188,000 pages. Yet they expand it every session.

This is the opposite of what they should be doing. And instead of figuring out how to live within their means, they just demand more resources… even though it never works.

Britain tried its 98% tax experiment in the 1970s and spent a decade regretting it.

Ironically the current Labour government has forgotten that painful lesson; they recently abolished the 110-year-old “non-dom” regime, and more than 10,000 millionaires have already left the country.

In the United States, Elizabeth Warren’s Ultra-Millionaire Tax proposal does not just impose a wealth tax. It bundles her wealth tax with an additional 40% exit tax on anyone who renounces US citizenship.

You do not create a 40% tollbooth at the border unless you fully expect people to try to walk through it.

These are not serious ideas to grow an economy.

Rather, they are insidious policies designed to trap people in a system which steals their prosperity.

That is why a Plan B makes so much sense.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 04/17/2026 – 09:00

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/there-no-fair-share-there-only-more 

Posted in News

Futures Storm Higher Into Record Territory On Now Daily Ceasefire Hopium

Futures Storm Higher Into Record Territory On Now Daily Ceasefire Hopium

Stocks are pushing higher again on the same old regurgitated news: namely speculation that a deal to end the war between the US and Iran is getting closer, the same exact “speculation” that has pushed the Nasdaq higher for what will now be 13 days in a row, and the same speculation that may keep pushing stocks even higher until the reality of no ceasefire sends risk plunging in a few days. For now however, it is sufficient to lift markets thanks to the relentless CTA VWAP grind higher, and as of 8:15am, S&P futures are 0.4% higher, with Spoos trading above 7100 while Nasdaq futs gain 0.3% after both gauges hit record highs Thursday, with all Mag 7 stocks trading higher in the premarket (MSFT +1.1%, AAPL +0.8%). Netflix tumbled 10% after it gave a disappointing Q2 forecast and Reed Hastings announced he is stepping down as Chairman. The dollar was down 10 bps and headed for a February low. Global bonds were mixed, with the 10-year Treasury yield down two basis points at 4.30%. Overnight, headlines were largely quiet: while the date of the second round of US-Iran talk has not yet been determined, Trump signaled that talks could resume this weekend. Oil prices are extending their decline: WTI is down $4 below $88 with both Brent and WTI are both down around 4% for the session as traders await details of talks between the US and Iran following optimistic comments from President Trump. Base metals are all higher led by aluminum (+0.6%); Ags are mostly lower.  No economic releases are expected today. Fed’s Daly, Barkin and Waller are scheduled to speak at events. Fed’s blackout period begins Saturday.

In premarket trading, Mag 7 stocks are all higher (Microsoft +1%, Apple +0.4%, Amazon +0.4%, Tesla +0.6%, Alphabet +0.1%, Nvidia +0.2%, Meta +0.2%)

Alcoa (AA) slips 2% after the aluminum company said first-quarter earnings were hurt by higher costs and operational disruptions.
Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY) rises 3% after reporting earnings that beat estimates, fueled by consumers purchasing more cars even as gas prices rose.
Autoliv (ALV) gains 9% after the company saw better-than-expected sales in the first quarter, with particular strength seen in March. CEO Mikael Bratt says in an interview it isn’t wholly clear what was driving the boost, but says some of it may be pre-buying effects as vehicle manufacturers looked to shore up inventories amid rising volatility.
Knight-Swift (KNX) slips 1% after the transportation and logistics services provider reported preliminary adjusted earnings per share for the first quarter that missed the average analyst estimate.
Netflix (NFLX) tumbles 10% after the streaming company gave a forecast for the second quarter that fell short of analysts’ expectations, underwhelming Wall Street just months after it lost out on a bid for Warner Bros. Discovery Inc.
NiSource Inc. (NI) gains 2% after the company announced a new long‑term energy agreement with a subsidiary of Alphabet Inc. to support the development and operation of a large‑scale data center in northern Indiana.
Onto Innovation (ONTO) rises 5% as Stifel upgrades to buy, citing the semiconductor manufacturing company’s solid preliminary revenue.

In other corporate news, Apple’s marketing executive in charge of the Apple Watch, AirPods, health and smart home initiatives said he’s retiring, marking a changing of the guard for a series of key product lines. SpaceX has moved up a scheduled vesting date for shares awarded to employees to as soon as next week, ahead of an IPO. Increasing demand for AI services could continue to raise chip costs throughout the year, note Ericsson executives. Uber is raising its holding in Delivery Hero, buying a stake from its European rival’s biggest shareholder for €270 million ($318 million). 

One of the most powerful rallies since World War II looks set to continue Friday as investors look past mixed signals on a Middle East peace deal, a muted Netflix outlook and the prospect of further US-Iran talks this weekend.  As measured by the 14-day relative strength index, it took the US benchmark just 11 days to lurch from an oversold reading to Thursday’s arrival in overbought territory. That’s only outpaced by an even faster rally in 1982. Explanations for the abrupt change in momentum point to a combination of hedge unwinding, systematic buying and short covering by hedge funds in macro products.

While the Nasdaq’s 12-day winning streak has propelled the index to fresh all-time highs, tech valuations remain near their 10-year average. Earnings estimates have been rising in concert with stocks, keeping forward price-to-earnings ratios at low levels.

“This reset provides a more constructive entry point in equities, particularly across large-cap quality growth,” said Scott Rubner, Citadel Securities head of equity and equity derivatives strategy.

Brent dropped 4% below $96 a barrel after Trump claimed that Iran has made key concessions in negotiations with the US (Iran later denied it). The drop accelerated after Axios announced that the US is considering a $20 billion cash-for-uranium deal (Iran has yet to deny that). 

Yet for all the optimism, the key transit route for about a fifth of global crude shipments remains all but shut under US and Iranian blockades. Some Gulf Arab and European leaders said that a US-Iran peace deal could take about six months to agree. And despite its overnight tumble, Brent continues to trade about a third higher since the conflict began in late February, with no clear indication of when flows through the Strait of Hormuz will resume. Bank of England policymaker Sarah Breeden warned that the war could trigger several market stresses at once.

“As we are heading closer and closer to May, the situation becomes serious,” said Andrea Gabellone, head of global equities at KBC Securities. “If no real traffic is seen by June at the latest, things will take a different turn.”

Not that the market cares: bond and equity stress measures show markets are growing more sanguine about an eventual resolution to the conflict. The V-shaped market recovery has meant investors hedging using monthly puts held to expiry have got little benefit in return for eating carry costs. 

“Now that the dust appears to be settling on events in the Middle East, market attention will once again focus back on the fundamentals, in particular earnings given that the season has just started,” said Daniel Murray, deputy chief investment officer at EFG Asset Management. “Earnings expectations are buoyant, consistent with solid underlying macro trends.”

“It’s all about earnings. EPS estimates for 2026 and beyond continue to march higher. Investors are oblivious to anything else,” said Peter Berezin, Chief Global Strategist, BCA Research.

Trump struck an optimistic tone about prospects for a permanent ceasefire with Iran. “It’s looking very good that we’re going to make a deal with Iran, and it’s going to be a good deal,” he told reporters at the White House. Talks between Washington and Tehran could resume this weekend, he added. He also announced a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon. Less encouragingly, some Gulf Arab and European leaders said a peace deal would take about six months to be agreed. 

In politics, Democrat Analilia Mejia is projected to win the special election in New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District. President Trump sought to assuage voters’ fears about the cost of living despite higher energy prices stemming from his war in Iran at a rally to build support for his economic record ahead of November’s midterm elections.

European stocks are inching higher, with Stoxx 600 up by 0.2. Alstom SA shares slid the most in over two years in Paris after the manufacturer withdrew financial guidance for this fiscal year. 

Asian equities retreated ahead of the weekend as investors await progress in talks to extend the US-Iran ceasefire. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index slid as much as 1.2%, with TSMC and Mitsubishi UFJ among the biggest drags on the gauge. Most major markets were in the red, and Japan’s Topix Index fell more than 1%. Enthusiasm for technology stocks has also waned, with chipmaking giant TSMC’s Taipei-listed shares leading declines in part due to investor unease over its heavy reliance on a small number of hyperscaler customers.

In FX, the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index is down 0.1% and there are modest moves in other major currencies.

In rates, treasuries drift higher over Asia, early London session leaving yields richer by 1bp to 2bp across the curve, following similar price action across European bonds as speculation grows that a peace deal between the US and Iran is getting closer. US 10-year yields trade close to session lows into the early US session at 4.295% with bunds and gilt trading marginally cheaper on the day in the sector.  In the UK, the yield on 10-year gilts held steady after Thursday’s move higher. New details about Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s appointment of Peter Mandelson as US ambassador have rekindled doubts about his grip on power. The pound was little changed. US session focus includes a handful of speakers, such as Waller on the economic outlook (2pm New York) ahead of Saturday’s start to the communications blackout period. Treasury auctions next week include $13 billion 20-year bond reopening on Wednesday

In commodities, oil prices are extending their decline but there are few signs of positive spillovers to other assets. Brent and WTI are both down around 4% for the session, as traders await details of talks between the US and Iran following optimistic comments from President Trump. Gold prices are steady slightly short of $4,800/oz.

US economic data calendar slate empty for the session. Fed speaker slate includes Daly (11:30am), Barkin (12:15pm) and Waller on the economic outlook (2pm — text and Q&A expected). Fed’s external communications blackout period begins Saturday, ahead of the April 29 policy announcement

Market Snapshot

S&P 500 mini +0.5%,
Nasdaq 100 mini +0.6%,
Russell 2000 mini +0.4%
Stoxx Europe 600 +0.3%
DAX +0.7%
CAC 40 +0.5%
10-year Treasury yield -1 basis point at 4.3%
VIX +0.2 points at 18.14
Bloomberg Dollar Index -0.1% at 1192.11
euro +0.2% at $1.1799
WTI crude -3.3% at $91.54/barrel

Top Overnight News

The disruption of ME oil supplies due to the war in Iran has sparked a rush for US crude. Data on ship movements show about 70 VLCCs, or very large crude carriers, sailing towards the US Golf Coast mainly from Asia. The number is more than double last year’s average. Nikkei
President Donald Trump said a deal to end the war in Iran could be reached soon, although the timing remained unclear, while U.S. allies were gathering on Friday to discuss reopening the vital Strait of Hormuz shipping route. BBG
A Pakistan-flagged tanker that entered the Persian Gulf over the weekend became the first carrier to exit through the Strait of Hormuz with a crude cargo since the US blockade began on Monday. BBG
The Strait of Hormuz remains in focus as the UK and France host a Paris summit to discuss a naval force to ensure freedom of navigation. Trump, meanwhile, moved to calm voters’ concerns about conflict-driven energy costs at a speech in Las Vegas. BBG
The US Congressional Progressive Caucus discussed trying to force repeated House votes on Iran war powers resolutions, Punchbowl reports.
The US plans to help build a first-of-its-kind industrial hub in the Philippines to boost production of inputs crucial to American supply chains. BBG
The RBI urged state-run oil refiners to curb spot dollar purchases and tap a special credit line for their FX requirements. BBG
The US government is at risk of losing its status as the lowest-cost USD borrower as global investors grow wary of Trump’s volatility. FT
Keir Starmer fired the UK foreign office’s top civil servant, Olly Robbins, a person familiar said. The PM faces renewed calls to quit himself after revelations that his US envoy Peter Mandelson was granted security clearance despite officials’ objections. BBG
Delays to a swath of new US data centers threaten to slow the rollout of AI by the world’s biggest tech companies, with almost 40 per cent of all projects due this year at risk of falling behind schedule. FT
US President Trump posted “Sadly, Mayor Mamdani is DESTROYING New York! It has no chance! The United States of America should not contribute to its failure. It will only get WORSE. The TAX, TAX, TAX Policies are SO WRONG. People are fleeing”.

A more detailed look at global markets courtesy of Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly lower as markets lost steam following the recent rallies and with participants paring risk heading into the weekend, despite the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire taking effect and optimism by US President Trump regarding a deal between the US and Iran, which he said could resume talks over the weekend. ASX 200 was subdued with weakness seen in gold miners, financials and the consumer sectors, although the downside is limited amid a lack of fresh catalysts and a quiet data calendar. Nikkei 225 pulled back from its all-time record highs and just about returned to beneath the 59,000 level, with underperformance seen in some miners, manufacturers and semiconductor names. Hang Seng and Shanghai Comp conformed to the uninspired mood with the Hong Kong benchmark dragged lower by tech weakness, while participants also digested some earnings releases, including from Kweichow Moutai, which reported a 5% drop in FY profit.

Top Asian News

Chinese scientists have reportedly developed diamond coating, which could improve cooling efficiency of AI data centres by around 80%, SCMP reported.
China State Planner Vice Chair said economic operations are showing positive changes with significant improvements on both supply and demand side. Will reserve a batch of macro policy measures and roll out in a timely way based on needs.
Fitch said China’s credit outlook remains constrained by weak domestic demand, adds Iran war has added external pressure through weaker energy, trade and global demand.
Japanese Finance Minister Katayama said Japan Bank for International Cooperation is to establish new investment window of up to JPY 600bln to assist Asian nations in securing energy supplies.

European bourses (STOXX 600 +0.3%) are broadly gaining on the last day of the trading week. The FTSE MIB is the slight outperformer, while the FTSE 100 lags as miners underperform. European sectors are mixed. Media tops the sector pile, closely followed by Technology while Basic Resources resides at the bottom of the pile.

Top European News

UK PM Starmer’s Chief Secretary Darren Jones said PM won’t resign and didn’t mislead Parliament, via BBC. The PM has not knowingly or unknowingly misled Parliament. He also stated that PM Starmer is furious; does not think it brings his future into question.
Senior UK Minister said PM Starmer has not considered resigning amidst called for resignation following Mandelson scandal, according to BBC.
UK Foreign Office senior official Sir Olly Robbins is leaving his post following the Mandelson vetting row, according to The Guardian’s Political Editor Crerar.
UK PM Starmer faces resignation called over Mandelson vetting, according to The Telegraph.
EU is planning its biggest relaxation of corporate merger rules in decades, while EU competition commissioner Ribera said merger rules are to favour scale and innovation, according to FT.

FX

DXY is a touch lower on the day with crude benchmarks trading lower by around -3% as news emerged that a Pakistani-flagged tanker became the first crude carrier to surpass the US Blockade since Monday. Elsewhere on geopolitics, reports suggested Indian refiners are paying for Iranian crude in CNY, reporting which may have added to pressure in the USD. (Comprehensive geopolitical analysis on the headline feed)
DXY trades a touch above the 98.00 level, which it has tested in recent days, while USD/JPY reversed from a high of 159.53 to move towards the 159.00 mark. On the latter, BoJ Governor Ueda was on the wires overnight, he reiterated that monetary conditions remain highly accommodative.
Elsewhere, AUD mildly leads given its high-beta characteristics with gold also firmer, and the aforementioned reports that CNY was used to pay for Iranian crude. AUD/USD lifted from a 0.7154 base to mark a session high of 0.7182
Sterling resilient to the political risks that emerged on Thursday afternoon. The UK PM is now facing calls to resign after news that Mandelson failed his vetting process for the Foreign Office. Some MPs have been calling for Starmer to resign: “I fail to see how Starmer survives this.”, one told the iPaper. Though close aides, like Chief Secretary Darren Jones, said the PM won’t resign and didn’t mislead Parliament. Starmer himself has denied any knowledge of the failed vetting. Given these reasons and the fact that PM has repeatedly said he wishes to see out his term with cabinet ministers recently voicing support for him, Gilts and Sterling, which initially weakened on the news, pared their respective losses.

Central Banks

BoJ Governor Ueda said G20 discussed impacts of Middle East on prices and on the global economy, adds many said the Middle East is an important factor and remains uncertain. Supply shock-driven inflation is harder to tackle than demand-driven. Rising oil prices put upward pressure on underlying inflation, but worsen Japan’s terms of trade and weigh on the economy. Monetary conditions remain highly accommodative and Japan’s real interest rate is low. BoJ will decide policy based on likelihood of forecast materialising and risk at each meeting.
ECB’s Muller said market’s rate bets are not completely unreasonable, its hard to argue there is an obvious case for an April hike; can not fully exclude it. Dangerous to assume energy shocks are temporary. ECB is better placed than it was in 2022 – does not have to wait to see second-round effects.
BoE’s Breeden says the Middle East conflict raises the risk of correlated shocks across markets. On repo markets, would authorise considering reforms to gilt repo markets to improve resilience.
Danske Bank sees two rates hikes by the Riksbank by August.

Fixed Income

Global fixed benchmarks are mixed/flat, but have held an upward bias throughout the European session, with the crude complex residing towards lows. Focus remains on the geopolitical front, with Lebanon-Israel having agreed to a ceasefire (but there have been reports of flare-ups in the south of Lebanon), whilst the US-Iran have yet to agree on a second round of talks. Nonetheless, President Trump continues to remain positive, suggesting that “they are making a lot of progress on Iran, and he is not sure the ceasefire needs to be extended”.
USTs are currently trading firmer by a couple of ticks and toward the upper end of a 111-04 to 111-09+ range. Aside from lower energy prices, US paper has not had much to digest, and this has been reflected in the fairly lacklustre price action. The US data docket is lacking, so more focus will be on Fed speak via Daly, Barkin and Waller later today.
Bunds are flat, but have been moving higher throughout the European morning, alongside the pressure seen in the crude complex. Currently trading at the upper end of a 125.11 to 125.46 range. Earlier, there was some commentary from ECB’s Muller, who struck a familiar hawkish tone, noting that an April hike cannot be excluded; comments which add on to the hawkish tone struck by other ECB members and the Minutes released on Thursday.
Gilts are firmer by around 10 ticks, where UK paper reacted to domestic politics. In brief, reports on Thursday suggested that Mandelson failed his vetting process for the Foreign Office – this has led to the Top Foreign Official to leave his role. This renewed some pressure for the PM to leave his position, but Chief Secretary Darren Jones, said the PM won’t resign – he struck a familiar line, where he suggested that Starmer had no knowledge of the failed vetting process. At least in the near term, the pressure on Starmer appears to be limited in nature, though MUFG highlights that the Labour Party could run into issues surrounding the local elections in early May. UK paper currently trades within a 87.83 to 88.38 range.

Commodities

In geopolitics, a 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire took effect at 17:00EDT/22:00BST on Thursday, though Israeli PM Netanyahu rejected Hezbollah’s demand for a full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, saying forces would remain in a security zone extending to the Syrian border. A Hezbollah source said Lebanon retains the right to resist by all means while Israeli forces remain, while Iran welcomed the ceasefire but also called for a full withdrawal. This morning, reports made the rounds that Israeli forces targeted an ambulance team in southern Lebanon (which breaches the ceasefire), although reporting on this was light overall. On Iran, President Trump struck an optimistic tone on prospects for a permanent US-Iran ceasefire and said Tehran had agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, though some European and Gulf Arab leaders cautioned a deal could still take around six months; Trump nevertheless said an announcement could come soon. Meanwhile, a source told Al-Mayadeen that starting Friday at noon (10:00 BST), anyone wishing to cross Bab al-Mandab should be more vigilant than ever before in all six directions, while other reports said the warning was made by a resistance commander.
Crude price action has been choppy this morning, prices fell on hopes of reduced Middle East supply disruption, with Brent Jun’26 moving towards USD 98/bbl (USD 96.15-98.98/bbl range) and WTI Jun’26 sub-90/bbl (in a USD 87.46-90.34/bbl range), before recovering slightly on the Lebanon ambulance report. New lows were hit shortly after wires re-ran overnight reports of a Pakistani-flagged tanker exiting the Persian Gulf, whilst other reports suggested Indian refiners are paying for Iranian crude in CNY. Do note the low for today is a moving target, at the time of writing.
Spot gold trades within a narrow range, awaiting the next macro impulse. Ranges are narrow within USD 4,768-4,806/oz. Spot silver found some support near its 100 DMA (USD 77.95/oz) but remains contained to a USD 77.77-79.26/oz.
Base metals flat/mixed with copper futures contained within a narrow band amid a lack of macro headlines ahead of a weekend of risk. 3M LME copper resides in a USD 13,182.53-13,300.60/t range at the time of writing.
Indian refiners are reportedly settling rare cargoes of Iranian oil purchased under a temporary US sanctions waiver using CNY through ICICI Bank.
Cumulative crude and condensate supply losses in the Middle East have reached 521mln barrels, according to Kpler’s Baker.
South Korean officials say that a South Korean tanker, carrying crude oil, has passed through the Red Sea route from Saudi’s Yanbu port, AP reported.
IEA chief said markets must brace for significant price surges if critical oil transit route remains closed, while IEA signals it’s not ready yet to release more reserves, though the option is being evaluated.

Geopolitics: Iran

IRNA states that security and traffic measures have been intensified in Islamabad, preparing itself for a major international event, while highlighting that Pakistani officials have not yet confirmed or denied any negotiations, Iran International reported.
US President Trump said Iran war is going swimmingly and should be ending pretty soon, adds going to see some incredible results.
Israel and Lebanon 10-day ceasefire takes effect.
US President Trump posted “I hope Hezbollah acts nicely and well during this important period of time. It will be an GREAT moment for them if they do. No more killing. Must finally have PEACE!”.
Israel reportedly launched airstrikes on southern Lebanon minutes before the ceasefire, according to an Asharq correspondent.
Iran stresses the need for full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, according to Iranian media citing a Foreign Ministry spokesman.
Iran welcomes ceasefire in Lebanon, said was part of Iran-US ceasefire understanding mediated by Pakistan, Iranian media reported.
Lebanon’s Army noted intermittent shelling on southern Lebanese villages after the ceasefire took effect.
ISNA noted that the Lebanese army announced that the Israeli regime bombed several villages in southern Lebanon after announcing the ceasefire agreement.
“Israeli forces target ambulance team in south Lebanon”, Al Jazeera reported.
IRGC said the army and the IRGC are ready to respond forcefully to any “aggressive and criminal act of the enemies”, IRGC public relations channel reported.
US Central Command said USS Abraham Lincoln transits the Arabian Sea and no vessels are violating the blockade so far.
US Treasury Secretary Bessent met with Italy’s Giorgetti yesterday; also met with Ukraine PM; and with UK Chancellor Reeves and EU Commissioner Dombrovskis. Discussed Iran and Energy. Also met with Japan Finance Minister.
French President Macron and UK PM Starmer are to hold a summit today on a plan to secure the Strait of Hormuz and are expected to brief US President Trump following the meeting, according to FT.

Geopolitics: Ukraine 

Governor said that Russian drones attack damaged port infrastructure facilities in Ukraine’s Odesa region overnight.
G7 reaffirmed backing for Ukraine, including energy needs ahead of winter, and agreed to sustain pressure on Russia while they discussed Chernobyl repair efforts and IMF reform progress.

US Event Calendar

 

DB’s Jim Reid concludes the overnight wrap

Morning from a beautiful start to the day here in Copenhagen. The birds are probably chirping merrily but as my man-flu has gone straight to my head I can’t hear anything. An ideal excuse when I encounter difficult questions about the war from clients.

On that topic, there has been a little bit of derisking globally over the last 24 hours but markets remain broadly optimistic about the direction of travel. Oil prices are retreating back a little this morning with Brent crude down -1.09% to $98.31/bbl, after a +4.70% rise on Thursday that saw it almost reach $100/bbl again. There is some profit taking in Asia ahead of the weekend though, with the Hang Seng (-1.38%) leading the losses followed by the Nikkei (-0.96%) and the KOSPI (-0.90%). Other Asian markets are down two or three tenths of a percent. US equity futures are fairly flat.  

The retreat in oil from yesterday’s high came as President Trump struck an optimistic tone on prospects for resolution, saying “It’s looking very good that we’re going to make a deal with Iran, and it’s going to be a good deal”. He predicted that agreement would be reached “fairly soon” and said that he would extend the current two-week ceasefire if a deal was close. The US President also claimed that “they’ve agreed to almost everything”, including handing over the “nuclear dust”, though there’s been no confirmation of this from the Iranian side. Earlier, Trump also announced a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, and he said that he’d be inviting Israel’s PM Netanyahu and Lebanon’s President Aoun to the White House. This ceasefire formally came into effect overnight.

Oil had moved higher for much of yesterday’s sessions following multiple more negative headlines, which dampened hopes about a near-term peace deal between the US and Iran. For instance, Reuters reported yesterday from two Iranian sources, who said that the US and Iranian negotiators had scaled back their ambitions for a comprehensive peace deal, and were instead looking at a temporary memorandum that would prevent a return to conflict. Moreover, Iran’s Tasnim news agency said in a report that “Iran has emphasized through Pakistani mediation that the US must first fulfill its commitments”, and that “without going through the preliminary arrangements and reaching the necessary framework, these negotiations will be of no benefit”.

That backdrop meant that oil prices moved higher yesterday, with Brent crude (+4.70%) closing at $99.39/bbl. Yet despite the latest advance for oil prices, the US equity rally continued. So not only did the S&P 500 (+0.26%) reach another record high, but yesterday saw the NASDAQ (+0.36%) advance for a 12th consecutive session for the first time since 2009. In fact, if we get a 13th advance today, it would be the longest run of consecutive gains since 1992.

Generally I’m sympathetic to the view that a resolution is more likely than not over the coming weeks even if the path is unlikely to be a straight line. However the CoTD (link here) yesterday reminded us that the last time we had a larger move in the S&P 500 in 11 business days than we’ve just seen since March 30 (+10.7%) was back in March 2022. Back then, it was because of expectations that Russian and Ukraine talks would end up in an early ceasefire to the war which was only weeks old at the time. That obviously didn’t end well and the bear market soon continued. So one warning sign from the recent past.

However the macro environment was quite different back then and we were in the early stages of a big rate shock, waking us from the ZIRP slumber. Today the environment outside the war is healthier and there was further evidence yesterday, with the weekly initial jobless claims falling back to 207k in the week ending April 11 (vs. 213k expected). The labour market is showing many more signs of strength now than it did pre-war.

US Treasury yields crept higher as the upward move for oil continued. So the 2yr yield (+1.3bps) inched up to 3.78%, whilst the 10yr yield (+2.8bps) saw a slightly larger move to 4.31%. The only obvious driver was the oil move, as there weren’t materially new policy signals from Fed officials. In fact, New York Fed President Williams said given everything that was changing, “it doesn’t make sense for us to try to be giving strong forward guidance”. Governor Miran did again say that the Fed should lower rates, though in favouring “three, maybe four cuts this year”, this was perhaps a slight moderation of his dovishness given he penciled in four cuts in the March SEP. Miran had favoured a full 150bps of 2026 easing at the start of the year. Incidentally, today is the last chance for us to hear from Fed officials before the next meeting, as their blackout period begins tomorrow. That said, the nomination hearing for Kevin Warsh as the new Fed Chair is next Tuesday, so that will be one to watch.

Earlier in Europe, sovereign bonds put in a stronger performance. That partly came as investors reacted to a Bloomberg report after the previous day’s close, which said the ECB was leaning towards keeping rates on hold in a couple of weeks. So that eased concerns about a hawkish reaction to higher energy prices, and market pricing for an April rate hike fell to just 13%, the lowest in over a month (86% at the recent peak). In turn, that helped to bring yields down, with those on 2yr bunds down -2.7bps, while further out the curve yields on 10yr bunds (-1.2bps), OATs (-0.9bps) and BTPs (-1.2bps) saw more modest declines. However, equities slipped back slightly given the oil move, with the STOXX 600 down -0.05% by the close.

Finally in the UK, 10yr gilt yields (+3.4bps) saw a sharp move higher in the afternoon, driven by a Guardian story that former US ambassador Peter Mandelson had failed his security vetting clearance for that appointment, and the decision had been overruled by the Foreign Office. So that was seen as a problem for Prime Minister Starmer’s position, as he’d previously told the House of Commons that “full due process was followed”. That led to a negative market reaction, because the consensus view is that Starmer’s replacement would face pressure to ease the fiscal rules and borrow more, leading to higher gilt issuance. Meanwhile, gilts had been slightly underperforming even before that report, as data showed UK GDP grew by a monthly +0.5% in February (vs. +0.2% expected).

Looking at the day ahead, it’s a fairly quiet one, but central bank speakers include the Fed’s Daly, Barkin and Waller, the BoE’s Breeden and Bill, and Bank of Canada Governor Macklem.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 04/17/2026 – 08:47

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/futures-storm-higher-record-territory-now-daily-ceasefire-hopium 

Posted in News

Oil Plunges As Iran ‘Completely Opens’ Hormuz, US Reportedly ‘Mulls’ $20BN Cash-For-Nukes Deal

Oil Plunges As Iran ‘Completely Opens’ Hormuz, US Reportedly ‘Mulls’ $20BN Cash-For-Nukes Deal

Summary

Iran’s Aragchi says Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open

US mulls cash-for-uranium deal as ‘three-page’ MOU peace plan takes shape

Peace talks reportedly on Sunday in Islamabad

Odds of a permanent peace deal by the end of the ceasefire are soaring…

Iran Opens Hormuz

In a rather shocking turn of events, Iran’s Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Aragchi posted on X that the Strait of Hormuz is open:

“In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire, on the coordinated route as already announced by Ports and Maritime Organisation of the Islamic Rep. of Iran.”

Oil crashed even lower on the report…

Are we getting close to ‘Mission Accomplished’?

US Mulls $20BN Cash-For-Uranium Deal

According to two U.S. officials and two additional sources briefed on the talks, Axios’ Barak Ravid reports that the US and Iran are negotiating over a three-page plan to end the war.

The three-page memorandum of understanding (MOU) the two sides are negotiating over also includes a “voluntary” moratorium on nuclear enrichment by Iran.

The U.S. demanded in the last round of talks that Iran agree to a 20-year moratorium. Iran countered with five years. The mediators are still trying to close the gap.

As part of the MOU, Iran would be allowed to have nuclear research reactors for the production of medical isotopes, but would pledge that all of its nuclear facilities would be above ground.

The existing underground facilities would remain out of commission.

Perhaps the most notable element under discussion being that the U.S. would release $20 billion in frozen Iranian funds in return for Iran giving up its stockpile of enriched uranium.

Axios adds that a top priority for the Trump admin is ensuring Iran can’t access the stockpile of nearly 2,000kg of enriched uranium buried in its underground nuclear facilities, in particular the 450kg enriched to 60% purity.

The Iranians, meanwhile, need money.

The parties are negotiating over what will happen to the stockpile and how much of Iran’s assets will be unfrozen. They are also discussing the terms on which Iran could use that money.

WTI Crude front-month oil futures prices are tumbling on the report, down over 11% – back near post-ceasefire lows…

President Trump said Thursday that U.S. and Iranian negotiators would likely meet this weekend for a second round of talks to try to seal the deal.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 04/17/2026 – 08:34

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/three-page-plan-end-war-oil-tumbles-us-reportedly-mulls-20bn-cash-nukes-deal 

Posted in News

Critical Shortage Of Jet Fuel: EU Airlines Have Just 6 Weeks Supply Left

Critical Shortage Of Jet Fuel: EU Airlines Have Just 6 Weeks Supply Left

Via Remix News,

The European market is facing a critical shortage of kerosene, with only six weeks of supply remaining, and the war in Iran is threatening the continent with a major aviation crisis.

Since the war broke out, jet fuel prices have jumped 70 percent, threatening the financial health of European airlines.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has warned that this scarcity may soon lead to widespread flight cancellations across Europe.

To combat the dwindling supply, the EU is reportedly developing an emergency plan to maximize refinery output and stabilize fuel distribution.

Fatih Birol, the director of the IEA, stated that these disruptions are a direct consequence of the ongoing blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.

He emphasized the gravity of the situation, warning: “The longer the blockade lasts, the worse it will be for world economic growth and inflation.”

The crisis is expected to move from logistical warnings to direct impacts on travelers, according to Berliner Zeitung.

Birol told the AP news agency, “We’ll soon hear that flights from City A to City B are being canceled due to kerosene shortages.”

Describing this as the most severe energy crisis of his career, he predicted rising costs for gasoline, gas, and electricity globally.

He noted that the primary victims would be poorer nations in Asia, Africa, and Latin America—the states “whose voices are least heard.”

Subsequently, before the crisis hits Europe and the Americas.

He specifically cited countries like Japan, South Korea, India, China, Pakistan, and Bangladesh as being particularly vulnerable.

The industry is already seeing significant fallout from these rising costs.

Lufthansa has announced that, with immediate effect, it will terminate the flight offer of its regional subsidiary, Cityline, and from Saturday, it will stop 27 older aircraft.

CFO Till Streichert explained that the current emergency is forcing the airline to accelerate restructuring plans that were already in the works.

According to the Berliner Zeitung, the airline cited skyrocketing kerosene prices and recent strikes as the primary drivers behind these drastic measures.

While only 10 percent of Europe’s oil comes through the Strait of Hormuz, 50 percent of its kerosene arrives from the region, meaning airlines are especially vulnerable.

Other authorities put this figure even higher, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) stating that the Persian Gulf normally accounts for approximately 75 percent of Europe’s net kerosene imports. 

Airport operators are already calling the EU to take emergency measures, including a suspension of aviation taxes to ease the financial burden on airlines.

Read more here…

Tyler Durden
Fri, 04/17/2026 – 08:05

https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/critical-shortage-jet-fuel-eu-airlines-have-just-6-weeks-supply-left 

Posted in News

Madison Air Pulls Off Biggest U.S. Industrial IPO Since 1999 As Data Center Cooling Theme Heats Up

Madison Air Pulls Off Biggest U.S. Industrial IPO Since 1999 As Data Center Cooling Theme Heats Up

Madison Air Solutions surged 18% in its IPO on Thursday after raising $2.23 billion, pulling off the largest U.S. industrial IPO in nearly three decades. Shares closed at $31.75, signaling strong investor appetite for an industrial name tied to the AI infrastructure buildout.

The Chicago-based company designs and manufactures ventilation, filtration, and cooling systems for data centers, semiconductor manufacturing facilities, life sciences buildings, and commercial buildings. Most importantly, investors care about MAIR because it sells liquid, hybrid, and air-cooling equipment for data centers, tying it directly to the AI buildout boom. 

Data centers account for roughly 20% of MAIR’s business. The company operates 30 brands and generated $3.34 billion in 2025 revenue, up from $2.62 billion a year earlier, though net income declined to $124 million from $236 million. Like many industrials operating in the US, it faces pressure from President Trump’s tariffs, with imported metals adding more than $51 million in costs last year. 

On Thursday, MAIR closed at $31.75, up from its $27 offering price, giving the company a $15.5 billion. In premakret trading in New York, shares are around $32.

Last year, in the data center cooling theme, we penned a note titled A Chilling Opportunity on data centers, highlighting UBS analyst Joshua Spector’s bullish coverage of Chemours as being well-positioned in coolant solutions for data centers. Year to date, Chemours is up 94%.

Looking ahead, Goldman analyst Mark Delaney provided color on the data center buildout earlier today: “Datacenter capex from leading public hyperscalers is now approaching ~$700 billion, roughly 10x the level in 2020.” This only suggests that as chip stacks get more powerful and demand for energy and cooling rises, companies like MAIR and Chemours stand to be key beneficiaries.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 04/17/2026 – 07:20

https://www.zerohedge.com/ai/madison-air-pulls-biggest-us-industrial-ipo-1999-data-center-cooling-theme-heats 

Posted in News

Aluminum Market Descends Into Supply ‘Black Hole’

Aluminum Market Descends Into Supply ‘Black Hole’

Aluminum prices on the London Metal Exchange are climbing into the end of the week, reaching $3,621 a ton and approaching the peak seen during Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The problem now is that the aluminum market has been thrust into a serious supply shock amid the U.S.-Iran conflict in the Middle East, one that is unlikely to be reversed in the near term.

One big problem we highlighted last weekend was that Emirates Global Aluminum (EGA), the Gulf’s largest aluminum producer, declared force majeure on part of its contract book after Iranian missile and drone strikes hit its Al Taweelah smelter. Then there is the Hormuz chokepoint and the U.S. blockade of the critical waterway, which has only further throttled vessel traffic.

It is important to note that EGA accounts for 4% of the world’s aluminum production. The broader Middle East accounts for about 9% of global aluminum production.

JPMorgan analysts have warned that the industry is descending into a black hole, or a “metaphorical point of no return,” where the “global aluminum market will face a serious and prolonged supply outage,” even if vessel flows through the Hormuz chokepoint resume in the near term.

The analysts warned clients earlier this week that the market has now entered that dangerous void, and LME prices could soon reach $4,000 a ton as the largest supply deficit in more than 25 years quickly emerges.

Goldman commodity specialist James McGeoch recently warned clients,Hard to think of a bigger metal supply shock: High degree of expectation this was where it was heading, but the initial reaction was to fade the uncertainty yesterday, that should be replaced by fresh length if history is a guide.”

Countries exposed to Gulf aluminum shipments include the U.S., Japan, Turkey, South Korea, Saudi Arabia, the Netherlands, Italy, Greece, and India. Any supply shock could hit Western manufacturers, allowing alternative suppliers in China and Russia to step up.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 04/17/2026 – 06:55

https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/aluminum-market-descends-supply-black-hole 

Posted in News

A Model For Europe? Switzerland Moves To Strengthen Country Against Foreign Property Owners And Migration

A Model For Europe? Switzerland Moves To Strengthen Country Against Foreign Property Owners And Migration

Via Remix News,

Foreign property owners will see their access to Swiss housing significantly reduced, as the Federal Council has decided to require authorization for their purchases. With foreigners accounting for more and more real estate transactions in the Western world, Switzerland’s tough measures may be a template for other nations.

The new measure aims to combat the housing shortage, especially as the population is set to vote in two months on the Swiss People’s Party’s (SVP) initiative “No 10 Million Swiss Francs,” reports Blick, based on a statement from the ATS Swiss Telegraphic Agency.

The Federal Council intends to require authorization for the purchase of primary residences by nationals of countries outside the European Union and the European Free Trade Association (EFTA), it stated in a press release. If these owners relocate, they will have to resell their property within two years.

Foreign owners will also no longer be able to acquire commercial properties for the purpose of renting them out. The aim is to prevent purchases made solely for investment purposes. The purchase of shares in publicly traded residential real estate companies and units in real estate funds will also no longer be systematically permitted.

The government also plans to tighten regulations on holiday homes. The annual quotas that cantons have to authorize purchases by foreign owners will be reduced. Sales between foreign nationals will again require authorization. Any acquisition of holiday homes by non-Swiss buyers will reduce the cantonal quota by one unit.

“These proposals aim to refocus the Koller Law on its primary objective,” the Federal Council writes.

The draft bill is open for consultation until July 15.

This series of measures was decided in response to the Swiss People’s Party (SVP/UDC) initiative “No Switzerland with 10 million inhabitants.” The agrarian party wants to curb population growth by capping the resident population at 10 million.

The Swiss People’s Party (UDC) behind the proposal stated that rising immigration had resulted in “housing shortages and rising rents, traffic jams on the roads, crowded trains and buses, falling standards of schools, increasing violence and crime, electricity shortages, income stagnating per capita, ever-higher health insurance premiums, indebted social services, and increased pressure on the beauty of the landscape and the preservation of nature.”

If the new limit is exceeded, measures regarding asylum will have to be taken. And the free movement of persons agreement concluded with the EU could be terminated.

The Federal Council is clearly opposed to this text, which would jeopardize the agreements with Brussels reached at the end of 2024 after years of negotiations. The package still needs to be approved by the Swiss and European Parliaments. The Swiss people will then have their say.

With the amendment to the Lex Koller, “the Federal Council is closing a loophole in the stock market exploited by foreign investors,” the Socialist Party emphasized in a statement on Wednesday. According to the parliamentary group, this decision “sends a strong signal.” 

Filling this gap “is a long-awaited step forward for tenants and those wishing to acquire home ownership,” said the co-president of the Socialist Group, National Councillor Samuel Bendahan (VD), quoted in the press release. According to him, “foreign investors could easily enter the Swiss housing market via the stock exchange, circumventing the Lex Koller, without authorization or oversight.”

“It was high time to reverse the relaxations of the Lex Koller that have driven up prices, and thus rents, over the past few decades,” adds National Councillor Christian Dandrès (GE).

Across Europe, housing affordability has become a major issue. On one end, mass immigration has fueled tight housing markets, driving up housing prices and rent. At the same time, foreign investors are increasingly buying up more and more property, pricing out natives. In cities like Paris, foreigners own nearly 4 percent of residential housing stock. In other countries like Germany, foreigners buying up property is also an issue, but it is difficult to ascertain how much of the housing stock is owned by foreigners, as they often buy the property through a company registered in Germany and through numerous layers of shell companies.

Read more here…

Tyler Durden
Fri, 04/17/2026 – 06:30

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/model-europe-switzerland-moves-strengthen-country-against-foreign-property-owners-and 

Posted in News

World’s First Six-Gen Bomber Completes Aerial Refueling Test Flight

World’s First Six-Gen Bomber Completes Aerial Refueling Test Flight

Northrop Grumman released new images of its B-21 Raider stealth bomber performing “more advanced stages of flight test” and “aerial refueling.”

Northrop Grumman’s B-21 Raider continues to demonstrate outstanding performance as the program moves into more advanced phases flight test, including aerial refueling. (Photo Credit: U.S. Air Force)

The B-21 is the world’s first sixth-generation aircraft and the “most advanced aircraft to take to the sky now has global reach,” according to Northrop.

The B-21 Raider conducts aerial refueling with a KC-135 Stratotanker, which is a key part to the Raider’s role in projecting power globally. (Photo Credit: Northrop Grumman)

The test campaign of the B-21 comes as Eurasia is on fire in multiple conflicts, including the Russia-Ukraine war and the US-Iran conflict in the Gulf area.

Northrop did not say when the B-21 conducted the test flight but our reporting from mid-March had a timeframe then and over the Mojave Desert.

Ready For War? New B-21 Raider Activity Spotted Over Mojave Desert

Northrop listed ten fun facts about the B-21:

1. Sixth-Generation Stealth

The B-21 Raider leverages decades of innovation to deliver superior stealth with extended range. Its advanced, fuel-efficient engines integrated into a sleeker airframe reduce tanker support reliance more than any previous bomber, enhancing agility and persistence across missions. 

The B-21 has demonstrated outstanding stealth performance in testing, showcasing the effectiveness of its advanced low-observable design that will allow it to penetrate the most sophisticated air defenses undetected.  

Modernized, low-observable processes will also make the B-21 easier and less costly to maintain than prior systems, ensuring the fleet’s operational readiness for our nation’s most critical missions.

2. Built to Deliver Strategic Deterrence

The B-21 Raider is designed to hold any target at risk, anywhere in the world. With the ability to deliver both conventional and nuclear payloads, it provides decision-makers with flexible, survivable response options across the full spectrum of conflict. The B-21’s open architecture will deliver seamless upgrades, enabling the Raider fleet to evolve its mission and weapons capabilities to outpace any threat.  

3. Mission-Driven Partnership

The development of the B-21 Raider is a testament to the results-focused collaboration between Northrop Grumman and the Air Force. Northrop Grumman’s partnership is built on transparency and a commitment to shared success, exemplified by an industry-first agreement that provides access to valuable data, including the B-21 digital twin, enhancing affordability and agility in upgrades. 

As a proven partner, Northrop Grumman delivers effective, data-driven solutions that meet the demands of critical missions. Together, the company and the Air Force are demonstrating the B-21’s capabilities against adversaries.

4. Strategically Investing

Committed to leading the way, Northrop Grumman consistently invests in the technologies and tools that empower the best fighting force in the world. To date, the company has invested more than $5 billion in the B-21 program’s digital and manufacturing infrastructure. Our investments in manufacturing capacity are accelerating production, providing flexibility to support future fleet growth and ensuring long-term U.S. Air Force strike dominance. 

These investments power our digital ecosystem, equipping the B-21 Raider with highly advanced software, manufacturing and engineering tools. As a result, software certification time has already been reduced by 50%, ensuring the B-21 stays at the speed of relevance for future technology insertion. The ecosystem also enables real-time validation of aircraft performance during tests.  

5. Delivering Results that Ensure America Wins

Northrop Grumman’s expertise in advanced aircraft systems is driving flight test results that showcase speed, efficiency and exceptional performance. 

Multiple B-21 Raider aircraft are currently in flight test, consistently exceeding expectations. Most sorties achieve “code one” status, indicating the aircraft returned from its flight without maintenance issues and is ready to go fly again. This reaffirms the quality of the design and build, and signals strong future operational performance. 

Simultaneously, Northrop Grumman engineers are conducting ground tests to ensure the B-21 can operate in the most extreme mission conditions. These test results consistently surpass digital modeling predictions, further validating the aircraft’s design and capabilities.

6. Accelerating Advanced Manufacturing

Northrop Grumman’s advanced manufacturing processes, including digital and augmented reality tools, enable technicians to visualize tasks and solve problems before ever touching the plane. This approach connects technicians to design engineers as never before, improving efficiency and cultivating expertise throughout the manufacturing workforce. 

Northrop Grumman has invested in manufacturing technology and capacity at our facilities across the U.S. to accelerate and scale production of the B-21 Raider. We are increasing production rates on capability that will project American power anywhere in the world.

7. More than a Bomber

As the world’s most advanced aircraft to take the skies, the B-21 Raider combines unmatched range, access and payload in a single system designed to perform specialized missions no other aircraft can accomplish. 

Instrumental in maintaining U.S. and allied security amid a complex global landscape, the B-21 is a key part of a powerful family of systems. It delivers a new era of capability and flexibility by seamlessly integrating data, sensors and weapons – enabling precision strikes and comprehensive situational awareness.

8. Ready on Day One

Northrop Grumman is developing comprehensive training, sustainment and fleet management tools for the Air Force as they prepare to operate and maintain the B-21 Raider. Leveraging extensive flight test data and decades of sustainment experience across a variety of systems, these tools ensure the B-21 enters service ready, affordable and sustainable at scale. 

Test pilots report exceptional handling during aerial refueling, noting a high degree of stability and control. These qualities reduce training requirements and enable faster refueling, increasing operational tempo and agility – further proving that the B-21 will deliver unmatched performance for U.S. Air Force operators.

9. American Made Deterrence

An all-American team of more than 8,000 industry and Air Force personnel are designing, building, testing and delivering on the promise of B-21. The team consists of more than 400 suppliers across 40 states. This is a nationwide effort to provide deterrence capability that strengthens and defends our nation.

10. Bold, Innovative, Courageous

The B-21 Raider is named in honor of the Doolittle Raid of World War II when 80 airmen, led by Lt. Col. James “Jimmy” Doolittle, and 16 B-25 Mitchell medium bombers set off on a mission that changed the course of World War II. The raid was a catalyst for a multitude of future progress in U.S. air superiority and serves as the inspiration behind the Raider name and the pioneering, innovative spirit instilled across the workforce bringing the B-21 to life.

Separate but related to the defense world, The Wall Street Journal reports that the Trump administration is preparing to fire up the “war economy” by asking automakers to convert car production lines into weapons manufacturing. It’s a must-read report that can be found here.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 04/17/2026 – 05:45

https://www.zerohedge.com/military/worlds-first-six-gen-bomber-completes-aerial-refueling-test-flight